Sunday, August 25, 2013
Is Canadian Democracy Just School Yard Stuff?
Monday, May 7, 2012
More Harper equals Less Democracy
Tuesday, April 17, 2012
What is the cost of the F 35 to Canada?
I see that we have an Emergency Meeting of the Commons Public Accounts Committee on Thursday of this week.
The Opposition Members of the Committee forced this to happen but they are concerned that the Harper Party majority on the Committee will vote to hold the session in camera. I hope they don’t, this is important and needs to be done in public.
The Opposition Members want to hear from National Defence about the costs of the F-35 JSF versus to costs stated by the Harper Party Minister, Peter MacKay.
In the US, they have already put the JSF program “on probation” because of the soaring costs and pork barrelling that occurs in many US programs.
We need to know what the costs will be as well.
It is not the minivan scenario that MacKay trots out, that you only consider the sticker price when you buy a minivan. Most of us have bought cars and vans and we consider what the mileage will be like, so we can afford to put gas in it, many of us consider what the impact will be on our insurance premiums…
And yes we look at the sticker price. The Captain’s seats might be nice and the two sets of DVD/video game systems would keep the kids happy, but if it’s for getting groceries and never leaves the city, well it’s kind of pointless isn’t it?
The other reason that we have to have the F 35 is that the other countries will have them and we don’t want to be left out. Except the Aussies just bought some F 18 Super Hornets, and the US Navy just bought some too.
The fact that the US Navy bought these Super Hornets is interesting, as our current CF 18s are basically the same model as the F 18 Hornets the Navy used to fly using the same suspension and even down to the tail hook for catching the wire on carriers. Our tail hooks are for small airports in the North.
Another interesting fact about the Super Hornet is the price, around $42 Million each. Compare that to the current $160 Million of the F 35 and for the same $9 Billion we have set aside, we could have over 210 Super Hornets compared to 56 F 35s. Or we could get 100 and set aside $4-5 Billion for gas… or pilots.
Apparently we are so short on pilots we are recruiting from the RAF who have been laying off their excess pilots.
But then again it’s probably just an accounting thing, it’s likely cheaper to hire foreigners to work in Canada than to train Canadians for those jobs.
Sunday, April 15, 2012
The pesky Joint Strike Farce F-35 has raised its nose again.
The pesky Joint Strike Farce Force F-35 has raised its nose again.
The events surrounding this flying fiasco are getting weirder by the day, if not faster. It’s too bad the name “Warthog” is already taken, this jet is getting wartier all the time.
I’ve been looking around trying to find prices, if I have to pay for them I’d like to know what the damage will be… and the amounts mentioned in an article at RT.com look plausible. You can see it here: http://rt.com/news/f-35-british-cost-billions-590/
The article says that the Brits are expecting to pay over $160 Million a pop for these jets and that’s at the good price, the price for the partners in the JSF program.
The Harper Party script readers Fantino and MacKay are still holding to their numbers and still insisting on 65 fighters. But at $160 Million each, the $9 Billion we have set aside and “frozen” is going to come up short… by about 9 planes.
This assumes we get the same price as the UK, after all they tossed $2 Billion into the JSF pool and we only paid $160 Million
Another thing the Harper Party sticks to is the 20 year cost.
Now everyone talks about the life of this plane being 40 years, or more recently 36 years, but the Brits are costing theirs over a 50 year window. $1.4 Trillion over 50 years for 150 planes, that would be about $600 Billion for the same 50 year window for us.
Why these discrepancies? We are old enough to handle the truth so why are they incapable of telling us the truth?
Could it be that they are sugar coating the pill?
Let’s use the very tired car analogy they have been beating us with.
When you buy a new car, the service for that car for the first 2 to 5 years is quite low. Oil changes, tire rotations, just the basic stuff. After the first few years have passed, that’s when you start to repair and replace parts. Isn’t that why most people who buy new usually trade after 3 or 4 years? To avoid those expenses?
So by shortening the window to 20 years, are they trying to hide the long term cost of repair and replacement parts?
The average car lasts about 12 years, these jets are going to be used for 40 or 50 years. After about 5 or 6 years, a car gets expensive to maintain, at about ½ of its life expectancy. The ½ way point for these jets is 20 years, is it safe to assume they will become much more expensive to maintain after that point?
Finally, if we are to wait until the F-35 reaches full production, if it ever does, we are looking at 2019 before we can even get the planes. [Edit: US government sources are showing the "sweet spot" is 2021] That means that we will have to stretch the already aged CF-18s even further than they were intended to. Even with the upgrades that they received just a few years ago.
How much more will the upkeep costs of the CF-18 run in order to reach that date?
So where does that leave us?
If we stay the course, we will get the F-35 fighters starting likely in 2019. The CF-18s will be finished between 2017 and 2020. That is an uncomfortable gap.
If we maintain the $9 Billion amount of MacKay and Fantino, we will likely only get 56 of the 65 F-35 that the Harper Party says we need if we can even get that many. That is another uncomfortable gap.
Right now, we have 79 CF-18s. When the recent bomb scare occurred on a South Korean jetliner forcing it to return to BC, it was escorted through Canadian airspace by U.S. fighters.
None of our planes were available.
How many will be available when we only have 65? Or 56?
When we bought 138 CF-18s, we bought off the shelf technology. 30 years later it is still a viable aircraft.
Today we are looking at an unproven technology. Even the stealth characteristics of this 5th generation fighter are suspect.
We need a real competition to determine our future fighter jets, not a page torn from an F-35 brochure.
But most of all, we need a transparent and honest conversation to determine just what are the true requirements needed for a Canadian based fighter jet.
I don’t think Stephen Harper and his gang are up to that.